I usually hate it when politicians compare the federal budget to a family's budget. Do the Jones have their own nuclear arsenal and print their own currency? No. But sometimes it's helpful to take the big complex abstractions of the federal budget and humanize them a little. Therefore I give you:
The Budget, A Brief History of the Last Decade As Experienced By:
The
Jones Family
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The
Federal Government
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About a decade ago, you
voluntarily reduced your income. You:
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Took a
lower-paying job to spend more time with your kids
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Cut
taxes (and then cut them again)
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But you didn’t stop
spending. You:
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Bought
a new car, a big screen TV, and renovated your home.
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Engaged
in two wars overseas, promised to pay for seniors’ prescription drugs, and
created a big new bureaucracy to protect the homeland.
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Then the recession hit and
your income suddenly dropped for reasons beyond your control:
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Your
boss cut back your hours or even laid you off.
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Your
tax receipts plummeted because while unemployed people pay taxes, they don’t
pay nearly as much in taxes as employed people do, and unprofitable
corporations pay even less.
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At the same time, some of
your costs increased as a direct result of the recession:
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Your
local government and for-profit service providers were feeling the pinch too
so they raised prices and your property taxes went up, your heating bill just
got hiked, your phone company raised rates, etc.
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Your
“automatic stabilizers” kicked in and people who never needed food stamps,
unemployment benefits, or Medicaid before suddenly did, making those programs
automatically a lot more expensive.
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Even when you cut back or
sold back some of the things you bought earlier in the decade, you still had
to pay ongoing residual costs:
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You
sold the car but still need to pay higher insurance costs from an accident.
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You
ended a war but still need (rightfully so) to pay for (very much deserved)
health care and other benefits for veterans returning from that war.
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You acted to fix the
problem:
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This is where my cute
analogy breaks down a little because, at the end of the day, households
really aren’t like national
governments. Households did take on new spending in the recession (paying for
education or job training, even—according to Newsweek—getting plastic
surgery) in an attempt to make themselves more appealing job applicants, but
they also cut way, way back on most consumer spending. The #1 reason that employers don’t hire in
a recession isn’t taxes or regulations or secret Muslim-Kenyan-atheist presidents,
it’s because there’s no demand for their products and services. Workers are
laid off, they stop buying; companies don’t have buyers, they lay off
workers; it’s a vicious cycle that no individual company or household can
break.
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As the
consumer-of-last-resort, you passed a stimulus package that saved 3.6 million
jobs. (Incidentally, you also got
rock-bottom prices on things you had to buy anyway, like road and bridge
maintenance. It’s a lot cheaper to hire construction companies when they’re
desperate for work than when they’ve got offers galore. Even if you don’t buy
the argument that government spending stimulates the economy, it’s hard to
dispute that a recession when prices are low is exactly the right time to spend on necessary
items.) Too bad you needed to save 13
million jobs.
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There were also hard-to-believe-it-really-happened-but-it-did
factors.
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Crazy
Uncle Bob threatened to burn down your house unless you fronted him some cash
for his mortgage payment. So you did. (You did not report him to the police,
but in retrospect, should have.)
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The entire
financial system threatened to wipe out civilization as we know it unless you
bailed it out. So you did. (You did not engage in widespread criminal
investigations of the frauds that led to the crisis, but still should.)
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